What sellers are actually up against,
community by community
If you are selling in the mountains, your risk is not just your price. It is your community's sell-through rate: the share of listings that actually close instead of expiring, getting cancelled, or being withdrawn. This table ranks every community I track, strongest seller conditions first, from CRMLS data updated hourly.
Updated October 20, 2026 at 6:54 PM Pacific · refreshes hourly
Every community, side by side
| Community | Months of supply | Sell-through | Avg days on market | Sale vs asking | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twin Peaks | 6.6 | 55.4% | 70 | 94.5% | Buyer's Market |
| Crestline | 6.7 | 41.3% | 67 | 95.2% | Buyer's Market |
| Running Springs | 7.5 | 54.7% | 70 | 94.6% | Buyer's Market |
| Big Bear Lake | 7.8 | 35.7% | 84 | 93.4% | Buyer's Market |
| Lake Arrowhead | 9.8 | 34.4% | 95 | 92.4% | Buyer's Market |
| Blue Jay | 12.0 | 52.1% | 63 | 91.4% | Buyer's Market |
| Arrowbear Lake | 13.5 | 63.4% | 72 | 93.0% | Buyer's Market |
| Cedar Glen | 15.0 | 48.8% | 97 | 92.8% | Buyer's Market |
| Green Valley Lake | 15.0 | 45.4% | 91 | 91.0% | Buyer's Market |
Mountain communities are micromarkets. The same house at the same price can be a fast sale in one community and a future expired listing two ridges away. That is why I built the Sell Odds engine on sold and unsold outcomes instead of averages: before you list, you can know the odds your price actually clears.
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I work these communities every day, and my probability engine, Sell Odds, tracks every sold and unsold outcome, so you can make better informed decisions. No other agent on the mountain can provide that. Guaranteed.